Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.022930 0.025307 0.027675 0.030204 0.032823 0.035452 0.038285
2025-02-09 0.017542 0.021263 0.025101 0.029324 0.033814 0.038423 0.043490
2025-02-16 0.014560 0.019158 0.024040 0.029537 0.035492 0.041700 0.048612
2025-02-23 0.012124 0.017303 0.022957 0.029452 0.036600 0.044142 0.052626
2025-03-02 0.010041 0.015607 0.021854 0.029169 0.037333 0.046038 0.055912
2025-03-09 0.008394 0.014245 0.020994 0.029035 0.038122 0.047898 0.059065
2025-03-16 0.006686 0.012640 0.019730 0.028342 0.038200 0.048903 0.061213
2025-03-23 0.005621 0.011728 0.019207 0.028432 0.039099 0.050760 0.064241
2025-03-30 0.004465 0.010574 0.018313 0.028028 0.039385 0.051892 0.066427
2025-04-06 0.003332 0.009310 0.017199 0.027301 0.039250 0.052511 0.068006
2025-04-13 0.002168 0.007804 0.015680 0.026015 0.038414 0.052296 0.068618
2025-04-20 0.001766 0.007429 0.015599 0.026454 0.039566 0.054308 0.071692
2025-04-27 0.001147 0.006629 0.015010 0.026381 0.040267 0.055984 0.074600
2025-05-04 0.000486 0.005473 0.013877 0.025623 0.040182 0.056802 0.076604
2025-05-11 0.000197 0.004913 0.013534 0.025837 0.041235 0.058913 0.080052
2025-05-18 0.000015 0.004266 0.012995 0.025758 0.041907 0.060559 0.082950
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003595 0.012344 0.025490 0.042319 0.061878 0.085452
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003049 0.011826 0.025364 0.042877 0.063346 0.088104
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002353 0.010953 0.024709 0.042750 0.063986 0.089785
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002000 0.010635 0.024793 0.043527 0.065674 0.092654
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001530 0.010008 0.024412 0.043695 0.066626 0.094657
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001036 0.009200 0.023725 0.043451 0.067067 0.096054
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000514 0.008078 0.022513 0.042496 0.066634 0.096415